Original Research / Dataset

The AdmitGPT Admissions Dataset

AdmitGPT is built on real data, not vibes. Below is the open dataset that calibrates our probability engine — published so anyone can verify, reuse, or build on it. Most “chance calculators” hide their data. We show ours.

What’s in the dataset

6,273
US colleges covered
1,781
with admission rates
59
states & regions
1,122
applicant profiles
71%
average admission rate
76.4%
median admission rate

College records are sourced from the federal IPEDS database (admission rates, test scores, cost, graduation rates). The 1,122 applicant profiles are self-reported by real students between 2017 and 2023, and are used to calibrate and validate the engine’s ordinal accuracy (AUC ~0.74).

Most selective schools in the data

Admission rate by school, lowest first (verifiable against each college’s Common Data Set):

SchoolAdmission rate
Atlantic Acting School2%
California Institute of Technology3%
Minerva University3%
Stanford University4%
Harvard University4%
Yale University4%
Columbia University in the City of New York4%

Figures reflect the admission_rate.overall field in the underlying IPEDS extract; always confirm current rates with each school.

Download the data

Both files are published under the MIT license. Use them for research, journalism, or your own tools — attribution appreciated.

How we use it

The college data populates every school profile in the calculator; the applicant profiles calibrate the additive-logistic engine and validate its ranking accuracy. The full math is on the Transparency page, and the methodology is summarized on About AdmitGPT.

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